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Climate

What we know about the link betweenNepal’s flash floods and our climate crisis

In this week’s newsletter: The full scale of the disaster is still emerging, but as rescue efforts continue, scientists warn that a warming Himalayas could mean more deadly hazards

This story summarizes reporting from theguardian.com. Read the original for full context. Wire items stay in our news sitemap for seven days. Editorial policy.

Read full story on theguardian.com
Donna Lu4 Sept 2026, 06:00 amUpdated 2h ago4 min readEnvironmentEnvironment
What we know about the link between Nepal’s flash floods and our climate crisis

EnvironmentDonna Lu

At 8.37am local time last Wednesday, a huge mass of rock and ice sheared free from a mountain, sliding 1,200 metres to the valley floor in Nepal’s Langtang national park, about 60km north of the country’s capital, Kathmandu.

Horrifying images and videos soon emerged of a torrent of mud, water and debris that swept down the Lhende Khola valley at speeds approaching 150km/h. Flowing down the Lhende Khola, Bhotekoshi and Trishuli rivers that run between Tibet and Nepal, the flood water swept away homes, roads, bridges and power plants. Along the Trishuli, water levels rose by as much as nine metres in half an hour. As of the time of writing, the death toll of the disaster approached 1,000 people, with more than 4,400 on both sides of the border missing.

As the rescue effort continued – hampered by bad weather, poor access and the threat of further flooding due to two lakes that have formed after the landslide – Nepali prime minister Balendra Shah said the catastrophe was “not an ordinary” event.

Shah said on social media that “the risks we face in the Himalayan region are increasing alongside climate change … It is now time for us to strongly raise with the international community the issue of the disasters we are experiencing as a result of climate change.”

More on the scale of this disaster and what it tells us about our climate crisis, after this week’s headlines.

What caused last week’s catastrophe was not immediately clear: initial reports suggested the floods could have been caused by an earthquake in the ⁠area that triggered a landslide, while early satellite imagery suggested that a glacial collapse was to blame. Subsequent satellite analysis showed that bedrock underneath a glacier collapsed, with the landslide registering as a magnitude 5.2 seismic event.

“It seems that a massive rock face with the glacier on top of it has essentially gone,” says Adrian McCallum, a senior lecturer in geotechnical engineering at the University of the Sunshine Coast in Australia. One seismologist called the landslide “one of the largest in the last decade or two in the world”.

As Nepal’s Shah said in his statement, our environmental crisis cannot be separated from this disaster. The Himalayas – spanning Nepal, India, China, Bhutan and Pakistan – are warming twice as fast as the global average, putting the region at increased risk of avalanches, landslides and floods. The UN said in 2023 that Nepal’s mountains had lost close to one-third of their ice in just over 30 years due to global heating.

While scientists haven’t definitively linked the Lhende Khola landslide to the climate crisis, they have pointed out that rising temperatures mean permanently frozen mountain slopes are at risk of melting and destabilising .

“Increased temperatures result in increased melt, which results in increased water,” McCallum says. “Movement of water into voids within either soil or rock … destabilises what once may have been a more solid rock mass or soil environment.”

With global heating, mountainous areas are also at risk of permafrost degradation, “ glacial lake outburst floods ” (GLOFs), and increasingly erratic rainfall, raising flood and landslide risk.

Glacial lakes form behind natural dams as a result of glacier melt, and can cause catastrophic outburst floods if their natural dam walls are breached. More than 12,000 deaths have been attributed to such floods globally.

Given the risks to downstream communities in the Himalayas, scientists have pointed to the need for early warning systems, which would require coordinated international monitoring efforts.

“Wherever the glaciers are receding … you have the potential for a GLOF to occur,” McCallum says, such as in the European Alps and the South American Andes. In North America, an outburst flood causes periodic problems in Juneau , the capital of Alaska.

To be clear, there was no GLOF involved in last week’s landslide. But Nepal has more than 2,000 glacial lakes, and 21 of those, according to the UN , are considered potentially dangerous.

As climate academic Bill McGuire wrote for the Guardian this week, global heating will “leave no part of the planet untouched. As the world processes the horror of the events in Nepal and Tibet, it is a lesson that we ignore at our peril.”

• To read the complete version of this newsletter – subscribe to receive Down to Earth in your inbox every Thursday.

Horrifying images and videos soon emerged of a torrent of mud, water and debris that swept down the Lhende Khola valley at speeds approaching 150km/h. Flowing down the Lhende Khola, Bhotekoshi and Trishuli rivers that run between Tibet and Nepal, the flood water swept away homes, roads, bridges and power plants. Along the Trishuli, water levels rose by as much as nine metres in half an hour. As of the time of writing, the death toll of the disaster approached 1,000 people, with more than 4,400 on both sides of the border missing.

This report is published with credit to theguardian.com. Full available text from the wire is above. Read on theguardian.com

Source: theguardian.com · Donna Lu. Published 4 Sept 2026, 06:00 am.

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